We examine what our forecast model predicts so far —and consider what might change its confident prediction for one house of Congress and toss-up call for the other. Our correspondent sits down with Steve Reich, a pioneering classical composer who is nearing his 90th birthday. And the surprising reason why firstborns tend to have more-successful lives. Additional music courtesy of Steve Reich (Nonesuch Records), Erik Hall (Western Vinyl) Guests and host: Dan Rosenheck, data editor Jon Fasman, senior culture correspondent Ainslie Johnstone, data journalist Jason Palmer, co-host of “The Intelligence” Topics covered: American elections, Congress, polling, gerrymandering Steve Reich, contemporary classical music birth order, statistics Get a world of insights by subscribing to Economist Podcasts+. For more information about how to access Economist Podcasts+, please visit our FAQs page or watch our video explaining how to link your account. Hosted on Acast.